  Parc Chanot, Marseille, France 16 - 19 March 2009 I presented my paper, The Effect that President Obama and the new Congress Will Have on the American Wind Market, at the 2009 European Wind Energy Conference, in Marseille, France. My poster was number PO #2 and is listed in the Poster Topic, Global Policies and Markets. My paper was presented at the Poster Reception at 14:00 on Tuesday 17 March 2009. I wish to thank those EWEC participants that took the time to visit my poster. 2009 EWEC attendees can download my paper for free from the 2009 EWEC website. To learn more about my Poster go to http://www.ewec2009.info/index.php?id=73 WindPower 2009 was in Chicago 4-7 May 2009. Chicago is my hometown and my office location. To celebrate that WindPower 2009 was held Chicago, I prepared an updated Chicago Edition of my EWEC Paper, The Effect that President Obama and the new Congress Will Have on the American Wind Market. Chicago is also President Obama's hometown. I did NOT present a poster or oral presentation at WindPower 2009. If you would like to have an appointment with me in Chicago, please refer to my My Contact Information If you would like to meet with President Obama, I can NOT help you. The American Wind Energy Association (AWEA) 1st Quarter 2009 Market Report (April, 2009) stated that the US wind energy industry installed 2,836 megawatts (MW) in the 1st qt of 2009. This AWEA report is available at http://www.awea.org/publications/reports/1Q09.pdf The AWEA 2nd Quarter 2009 Market Report (July, 2009) stated that the US wind energy industry installed 1,210 MW in the 2nd qt of 2009. This AWEA report is available at http://www.awea.org/publications/reports/2Q09.pdf The AWEA 3rd Quarter 2009 Market Report (October, 2009) stated that the US wind energy industry installed 1,649 MW in the 3rd qt of 2009. This AWEA report is available at http://www.awea.org/publications/reports/3Q09.pdf A Reuters' 24 Sept 09 article, Recession Slows US Wind Power Growth Rate, stated that the US is projected to have 6,000 MW of additional wind generation in 2009. This is a 30% decrease from 2008. My EWEC 2009 (and the Chicago Edition) paper projected 6,050 MW new US wind or 28% less than in 2008. On a quarterly basis, I forecast 1,250 MW for 1qt; 1,460 MW for 2qt; 1,670 MW for 3qt and 1,670 MW for 4qt New installed 2009 US wind capacity (MW) forecast (Stavy) verse actual(AWEA) | | Stavy | forecast | AWEA | actual | quarterly | y-t-d | | forecast | y-t-d | actual | y-t-d | forecast > actual | 1st qt | 1,250 | 1,250 | 2,836 | 2,836 | (1,586) | (1,586) | 2nd qt | 1,460 | 2,710 | 1,210 | 4,046 | 250 | (1,336) | 3rd qt | 1,670 | 4,380 | 1,649 | 5,695 | 21 | (1,315) | 4th qt | 1,670 | 6,050 | 1,649 | 7,344 | 21 | (1,294) | year | 6,050 | | 7,344 | | | | Reuter's year | 6,000 | | 6,000 | | | | forecast > Reuter | 50 | actual > Reuter | 1,344 | | Dated 10/26/09 | |
My EWEC 2009 (Chicago Edition) worksheet and this Reuters' article can be down loaded at the Chicago Edition below. Download information is further down.
French Route N-7, the old Provence Road, on the way to Marseille Photographer: Michael StavY
To save a tree, my documents are available in electronic form. P Think Green At the bottom of this page, below the Guanella Pass photo, there are two links. Use the first link is to download my 2009 EWEC Marseille Paper and Poster Handout. You will need the username and password that was listed on my 2009 EWEC Poster. 2009 EWEC Attendees: My 2009 EWEC Marseille Paper webpage has a copy of my Chicago Edition Post Card. Use the second link to download the Chicago Edition of my 2009 EWEC Paper. You will need the username and password that is on my Chicago Edition Post Card.
I would like to report that my co-author [see below] and my favorite French client [see further below] were getting along well while I worked on the Chicago Edition paper.
ABSTRACT-Marseille-Poster Version
Wind is currently doing well in the US. Prior wind policies resulted in 11.6 GW of total capacity by 2006. By year end 2008, total US wind capacity reached 25.2 GW (1.5% of US ’08 GWh) and the US became the number one country in wind capacity. A July, 2008 US Department of Energy (DOE) study projected wind at 20% (305 GW) of US generating capacity by 2030. This would require 12.7 GW/yr average increase in installed capacity with an aggregate average cost of $25.9 (20.4 €) billion/yr (constant $ or €) for wind plants (not including transmission or supply chain). The paper first presents a list of wind friendly US policy drivers. The paper then presents an up-to-date (09-March-09) analysis of the effect that the wind friendly Obama Administration [and the new 111th US Congress] is having on US wind market supply and demand. The US credit crunch is also having an effect on supply. Wind energy policies are being drafted as this paper is being written. ABSTRACT-Marseille-Paper Version The wind market is currently doing well in the US. Prior wind policies resulted in 11.6 GW of total capacity by 2006. By year end 2008, total US wind capacity reached 25.2 GW (1.5% of US 2008 GWh/yr) and the US became the number one country in wind capacity. A July 2008 US Department of Energy (DOE) study projected wind at 20% (305 GW) of US generating capacity by 2030. This would require 12.7 GW/yr average increase (simple rate of growth) in installed capacity with an aggregate average cost of $25.9 (20.4 €) billion/yr (constant $/€) for wind plants (not including transmission or supply chain). The paper first presents a list of wind friendly US policy drivers. The paper then presents an up-to-date (17 March 2009) analysis of the effect that the wind friendly Obama Administration [and the new 111th US Congress] is having on US wind market supply and demand. Wind friendly supply side and demand side policies are being drafted and implemented as this paper is being written. The US credit crunch is also having an effect on supply. Due to the credit crunch and time lag between Obama policy implementation and effect, the paper forecasts that in 2009 6,050 MW of wind plants will be built. This will be a (28%) decline in new installed capacity. Total installed wind capacity at the end of 2009 will be 31,226 MW. This will a 24% increase in total installed capacity. The 2009 installed capacity cost is expected to be $1,830,000/MW (1,446,528 €/MW) which will be a (10%) decline from the 2008 installed capacity cost of $2,033,979/MW (1,607,253 €/MW).
The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 was signed into law in Denver, CO by President Obama [1] on 17 February 2009. This presentation is the 8th paper in the my series of papers/presentations on climate change mitigation and wind electricity. My first paper [2] was presented at WindPower 2000. A complete list of my carbon papers is at: Consulting on Climate Change Mitigation, the Kyoto Protocol, Carbon Trading and the Carbon Tax
[2] Stavy, Michael An Analysis of the Policies Required to Earn Carbon (CO2) Emissions Credits When Generating Electricity at Wind Power Plants, American Wind Energy Association, Washington, DC, WINDPOWER 2000, Palm Springs, CA, May 2, 2000.  
15 April 2009 (REV 1 October 2009)
My co-author 
A Happy French Client (gets along well with my co-author shown above) Source: Michael Stavy's Photo Collection 
Top of Guanella Pass, less than 75 miles from Denver, CO, where on 17 February 2009 President Obama signed the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 Source: Michael Stavy's Photo Collection
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