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Michael STAVY, Renewable Energy Technology and Economics
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SPECIALIZATIONS

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Buying Electricity and Natural Gas in Illinois' Competitive Energy Market
I help Propery Owners Develop their Wind Assets

Developing Wind Farms
Yes, We Can!

Consulting on the Finances of Climate Change Mitigation, the 2015 Paris Climate Agreement, Carbon Trading and the Carbon Tax
Heat energy not electricity

Developing Solar Thermal Projects
electricity

Developing PV Projects
Fuel Cell Vehicle

The Finances of Hybrid, Electric, Natural Gas, Hydrogen and Alternative Fuel Vehicles

ABSTRACTS FOR ALL PUBLISHED PAPERS & PRESENTATIONS

31 Papers/Presentations and Counting

Abstracts of Michael STAVY'S Published Papers and Presentations
see my co-authors

My August 2002 JSEE Paper is Specifically Cited in 11 Papers

PAPERS AND PRESENTATIONS

My Papers on Climate Change

Michael's GHG Emissions Papers Will Help You Understand Climate Change and the Paris Climate Agreement
Nice Seeing you at SPI13

PAPER at Solar Power International 2013, 21-24 October, Chicago
Warsaw, Poland

Paper at the 2010 European Wind Energy Conference, 20-23 April, Warsaw Poland
Nice meeting with you in Marseille

PRESENTATION at the EWEC 2009 Marseille, France 16 - 19 March 2009
Download my Carbon Cap Presentation

Paper at the 2009 Michigan Wind Conference 3-4 March 2009, Cobo Hall, Detroit, MI
See you in Chicago

WINDPOWER 2009, May 4-7, Chicago, IL USA


Press for the CHICAGO EDITION of my 2009 EWEC Paper
día bueno

PRESENTATION at the 2008 Latin American Wind Energy Conference, November 5-7, Guadalajara, MX
CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2

PRESENTATION at WINDPOWER 2008, June 1-4, Houston, TX
CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2

PRESENTATION at the 2008 European Wind Energy Conference, 31 March-3 April, Brussels. Belgium
Nice seeing you in LA

PAPER, "The Economics of Storing Wind Electricity as Hydrogen" at WindPower 2007 June 3-6 Los Angeles, CA USA
Kellogg Graduate School of Management Class of 1969

QUOTED in the Northwestern Alumni Magazine, Winter, 2007
Storing Wind Electricity as Hydrogen

PAPER "The Technology of Storing Wind Electrcity as Hydrogen" at the European Wind Energy Conference, 7-10 May, 2007, Milan, Italy
Storing Wind Electricity as Hydrogen

PAPER at the POWER GEN Renewable Energy and Fuels Conference, March 6-8, 2007, Las Vegas, NV
Spoke to Reporters

PRESENTATION "Reporting the Wind Story" At the Seminar "Reporting Energy Issues in the Midwest", Sponsored by the Foundation for American Communications, Urbana, IL September 14, 2006
Spark, November 2005

Letter to the Editor of SPARK, November, 2005
Clear Creek Public Radio

"US Energy Sources and Uses" October 29, 2005 Interview on KYGT, Clear Creek County, CO Public Radio
Illinois’ Voluntary Renewable Portfolio Standard

MY 2005 COMMENTS to Illinois Commerce Commision Concerning lllinois' Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS)
Indiana Dunes National Lakeshore

MY ANSWERS to Certain Questions Concerning Illinois' 2005 RPS (Renewable Portfolio Standard)
Yak Yak Yak

My 4 October 2005 Speech to the Sierra Club, Chicago Group, North Shore Program
Quoted Comments

COMMENTS Quoted in Newspapers or Magazines
Chicago Skyline

PUBLISHED "January 3, 2005 Letter to the Editor" in Crain's Chicago Business
Journal of Solar Energy Engineering

PAPER "Carbon Content of Hydrogen Vehicle Fuel" in the February, 2005 Journal of Solar Energy Engineering
The Cost of Wind Electricity

PAPER "Worksheet to Compute the Cost Wind Electricity", World Renewable Energy Conference-VIII, Denver, CO USA, August 29-September 3, 2004
Fuel Cell Vehicle

PAPER California Climate Change Center's First Annual Conference on Climate Change, June 9-10, 2004, Sacramento, CA
Fuel Cell Vehicle

PAPER, National Hydrogen Association 20O4 Convention, April 26-30, 2004, Los Angeles, CA
Paper on Kyoto Protocol

PAPER-Global WINDPOWER 2004 Conference, Chicago, IL USA, 28-31 March 2004
Levelized Cost and Carbon Content of Hydrogen Vehicle Fuel

PAPER-United States Association for Energy Economics-NCAC-Washington, DC, Friday, December 19, 2003
Fuel Cell Vehicle

PAPER-Illinois Economics Association's 33rd Annual Meeting, October 17-18, 2003, Chicago, IL
Fuel Cell Vehicle

PAPER-American Solar Energy Society's SOLAR 2003 Conference, June 21-23, 2003, Austin,TX
Yak Yak Yak

PAPER-International Solar Energy Society-SOLAR WORLD CONFERENCE 2003-14-19 June 2003,Goteborg, Sweden
Pure Hydrogen Flame

PAPER-European Wind Energy Association-2003 EUROPEAN WIND ENERGY CONFERENCE 16-20 June 2003-Madrid,Spain
Journal of Solar Energy Engineering

PAPER "Worksheet to compute the Levelized Cost of PV electricity", Journal of Solar Energy Engineering, August 2002
From Paris on Route N-7

PAPER 2002 Global WindPower Conference


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  PRESENTATION at the EWEC 2009 Marseille, France 16 - 19 March 2009

Michael STAVY  
Renewable Energy Technolgy and Finance  
312-321-1733  
300 N STATE ST APT 4434  
Chicago, Illinois USA 60654  

michael@michaelstavy.com  




   ecotecnia01.jpgewec.jpg

      Parc Chanot, Marseille, France 16 - 19 March 2009

 

I presented my paper, The Effect that President Obama and the new Congress Will Have on the American Wind Market, at the 2009 European Wind Energy Conference, in Marseille, France. 

 

My poster was number PO #2 and is listed in the Poster Topic, Global Policies and Markets.  My paper was presented at the Poster Reception at 14:00 on Tuesday 17 March 2009. 

 

I wish to thank those EWEC participants that took the time to visit my poster. 2009 EWEC attendees can download my paper for free from the 2009 EWEC website.

 

To learn more about my Poster go to http://www.ewec2009.info/index.php?id=73

 

WindPower 2009 was in Chicago 4-7 May 2009.  Chicago is my hometown and my office location.

 

To celebrate that WindPower 2009 was held Chicago, I prepared an updated Chicago Edition of my EWEC Paper, The Effect that President Obama and the new Congress Will Have on the American Wind Market.   Chicago is also President Obama's hometown.

 

I did NOT present a poster or oral presentation at WindPower 2009.

 

If you would like to have an appointment with me in Chicago, please refer to my  My Contact Information 

 

If you would like to meet with President Obama, I can NOT help you.

 

The American Wind Energy Association (AWEA) 1st Quarter 2009 Market Report (April, 2009) stated that the US wind energy industry installed 2,836 megawatts (MW) in the 1st qt of 2009.  This AWEA report is available at http://www.awea.org/publications/reports/1Q09.pdf 

 

The AWEA 2nd Quarter 2009 Market Report (July, 2009) stated that the US wind energy industry installed 1,210 MW in the 2nd qt of 2009.  This AWEA report is available at http://www.awea.org/publications/reports/2Q09.pdf

 

The AWEA 3rd Quarter 2009 Market Report (October, 2009) stated that the US wind energy industry installed 1,649 MW in the 3rd qt of 2009.  This AWEA report is available at http://www.awea.org/publications/reports/3Q09.pdf

 

Notice: The AWEA 4th Quarter 2009 Market Report (January, 2010) will be announced on Tuesday, 1/26/10. 

 

A Reuters' 24 Sept 09 article, Recession Slows US Wind Power Growth Rate, stated that the US is projected to have 6,000 MW of additional wind generation in 2009.  This is a 30% decrease from 2008.  

 

My EWEC 2009 (and the Chicago Edition) paper projected 6,050 MW new US wind or 28% less than in 2008.  On a quarterly basis, I forecast 1,250 MW for 1qt; 1,460 MW for 2qt; 1,670 MW for 3qt and 1,670 MW for 4qt

 

         New installed 2009 US wind capacity (MW) forecast (Stavy) verse actual(AWEA)

 

Stavy

forecast

AWEA

actual

quarterly

y-t-d

forecast

y-t-d

actual

y-t-d

forecast  >  actual

1st qt

1,250

1,250

2,836

2,836

(1,586)

(1,586)

2nd qt

1,460

2,710

1,210

4,046

250

(1,336)

3rd qt

1,670

4,380

1,649

5,695

21

(1,315)

4th qt

1,670

  6,050

1,649

7,344

21

(1,294)

year

6,050

7,344

Reuter's year

6,000

6,000

forecast > Reuter

     50

actual > Reuter

1,344

Dated

10/26/09

My EWEC 2009 (Chicago Edition) worksheet and this Reuters' article can be down loaded at the Chicago Edition below.

 

Download information is further down.

 


 

 

NS.Trees.jpg

 

                   French Route N-7, the old Provence Road, on the way to Marseille

 

                                             Photographer: Michael StavY

 


To save a tree, my documents are available in electronic form.    P Think Green 

At the bottom of this page, below the Guanella Pass photo, there are two links.

Use the first link is to download my 2009 EWEC Marseille Paper and Poster Handout. 

 

OPEN ACCESS during COP 16 (until 25 December 2010). After Christmas, you will need the username and password that was listed on my 2009 EWEC Poster.

 

2009 EWEC Attendees: My 2009 EWEC Marseille Paper webpage has a copy of my Chicago Edition Post Card.

 

Use the second link to download the Chicago Edition of my 2009 EWEC Paper. 

 

OPEN ACCESS during COP 16 (until 25 December 2010).  After Christmas, you will need the username and password that is on my Chicago Edition Post Card.

 


I would like to report that my co-author [see below] and my favorite French client [see further below] were getting along well while I worked on the Chicago Edition paper.  


ABSTRACT-Marseille-Poster Version 

 

Wind is currently doing well in the US. Prior wind policies resulted in 11.6 GW of total capacity by 2006. By year end 2008, total US wind capacity reached 25.2 GW (1.5% of US ’08 GWh) and the US became the number one country in wind capacity. A July, 2008 US Department of Energy (DOE) study projected wind at 20% (305 GW) of US generating capacity by 2030. This would require 12.7 GW/yr average increase in installed capacity with an aggregate average cost of $25.9 (20.4 €) billion/yr (constant $ or €) for wind plants (not including transmission or supply chain). The paper first presents a list of wind friendly US policy drivers. The paper then presents an up-to-date (09-March-09) analysis of the effect that the wind friendly Obama Administration [and the new 111th US Congress] is having on US wind market supply and demand. The US credit crunch is also having an effect on supply. Wind energy policies are being drafted as this paper is being written.

 

ABSTRACT-Marseille-Paper Version 

 

The wind market is currently doing well in the US. Prior wind policies resulted in 11.6 GW of total capacity by 2006. By year end 2008, total US wind capacity reached 25.2 GW (1.5% of US 2008 GWh/yr) and the US became the number one country in wind capacity. A July 2008 US Department of Energy (DOE) study projected wind at 20% (305 GW) of US generating capacity by 2030. This would require 12.7 GW/yr average increase (simple rate of growth) in installed capacity with an aggregate average cost of $25.9 (20.4 €) billion/yr (constant $/€) for wind plants (not including transmission or supply chain). The paper first presents a list of wind friendly US policy drivers. The paper then presents an up-to-date (17 March 2009) analysis of the effect that the wind friendly Obama Administration [and the new 111th US Congress] is having on US wind market supply and demand. Wind friendly supply side and demand side policies are being drafted and implemented as this paper is being written. The US credit crunch is also having an effect on supply. Due to the credit crunch and time lag between Obama policy implementation and effect, the paper forecasts that in 2009 6,050 MW of wind plants will be built. This will be a (28%) decline in new installed capacity. Total installed wind capacity at the end of 2009 will be 31,226 MW. This will a 24% increase in total installed capacity. The 2009 installed capacity cost is expected to be $1,830,000/MW (1,446,528 €/MW) which will be a (10%) decline from the 2008 installed capacity cost of $2,033,979/MW (1,607,253 €/MW).

 


The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 was signed into law in Denver, CO by President Obama [1] on 17 February 2009. 

     

This presentation is the 8th paper in the my series of papers/presentations on climate change mitigation and wind electricity. My first paper [2] was presented at WindPower 2000. 

 

A complete list of my carbon papers is at: Consulting on Climate Change Mitigation, the Kyoto Protocol, Carbon Trading and the Carbon Tax



 

[1] New York Times On Line Edition, Obama Signs Stimulas Packed with Clean Energy Provisions,  dated: Febrary 17, 2009; Downloaded; Febrary 17, 2009 

[2] Stavy, Michael An Analysis of the Policies Required to Earn Carbon (CO2) Emissions Credits When Generating Electricity at Wind Power Plants, American Wind Energy Association, Washington, DC,  WINDPOWER 2000, Palm Springs, CA, May 2, 2000.

 

 

EYE.EWEA.gifEWEA.gif

 

15 April 2009 (REV 1 October 2009)

 


 

 

IMG_1412.JPG

 

                                                           My co-author

 

 

 

dog.jpg

 

                   A Happy French Client  (gets along well with my co-author shown above)

 

                                           Source: Michael Stavy's Photo Collection

 

 

                  

winter_landscape.jpg

 

    Top of Guanella Pass, less than 75 miles from Denver, CO, where on 17 February 2009 President

                     Obama signed the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009

 

                                  Source:  Michael Stavy's Photo Collection












Michael STAVY, Renewable Energy Technology and Finance







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